NaClhv

Theology, philosophy, math, science, and random other things
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 60)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. Things are edited down to "For example, this is what the tail end of the distribution looks like with various shape parameters", and the plot titled "Generalized Pareto Distribution (tail shapes)" has been updated. You may next want to read: Questions and […]
2018-07-23

A presentation on Bayesian hierarchical modeling

This is a slide deck that I put together for my day job. It explains Bayesian hierarchical modeling. Bayesian hierarchical modeling (slide deck) Bayesian hierarchical modeling (pdf) It's given in the context of A/B testing and multiple comparisons, and assumes some knowledge of Beta distributions - but even if you don't have that background, it […]

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 59)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. Things are edited down to "For example, this is what the tail end of the distribution looks like with various shape parameters" You may next want to read: A common mistake in Bayesian reasoning What is "evidence"? What counts as evidence for […]
2018-07-09

A small addendum to the Bayesian evaluation of the resurrection

When faced with the argument presented in Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection, a common tactic is to try to push the prior lower. After all, this is one of the very few options available when one has no evidence on their side. But as I argued in the post itself, this will not […]

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 58)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection. Things are edited down to "Details of the distribution: generalized Pareto distribution and its parameters" You may next want to read: "Simon, son of John, do you love me?" Christians, read your Bibles Another post, from the table of contents
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