Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 87)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection.

I've pretty much decided on switching to the "x = " arguments, instead of going with the "x > " form. I think it'll be cleaner, with less back-and-forth and explaining of the various subtleties. As a bonus I may get a chance to explain the difference between Bayesian and frequentist approaches to problems like this.

I've made some changes to the text to reflect this, and started editing the jupyter notebooks. But things will be a bit messy for now.


You may next want to read:
Science as evidence for Christianity (Summary and Conclusion)
Can God make a rock so heavy that he cannot lift it?
Another post, from the table of contents

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 86)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection.

I added a graph to the section on "Assigning numerical x values". I'm also considering a fairly major restructuring, to do the Bayes factor at x = instead of x > 6 from the beginning.


You may next want to read:
The Gospel: the central message of Christianity (part 1)
The word "If" does not apply to God
Another post, from the table of contents

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 84)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection.

I made a graph describing the "meeting" vs. "exceeding" condition for a Bayes factor, under the "Using the historical data to construct the skeptic's distribution" section, and added a little bit more text there.


You may next want to read:
How is God related to all other fields of study?
Sherlock Bayes, logical detective: a murder mystery game
Another post, from the table of contents

Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection (edit 83)

I'm continuing to work on editing Bayesian evaluation for the likelihood of Christ's resurrection.

I've adjusted a few more things to more precisely state the nature of the Bayes factors in computing the "skeptic's distribution". I now need to add two more graphs: one for more clarification on the x-axis in the "Assigning numerical x values" section, and another to describe the "meeting" vs. "exceeding" condition for a Bayes factor, under the "Using the historical data to construct the skeptic's distribution" section.


You may next want to read:
A record of the total solar eclipse
On becoming a good person
Another post, from the table of contents